Source: http://ift.tt/1zimgcP --- Thursday, March 30, 2017
After months of ill-advised attempts to predict the future, the 2017 season is already here. We can soon get on with the business of actual Baseball, and all those reluctant predictions by prognosticators – such as the Effectively Wild season preview guests, or our own writers – will be quickly forgotten. Except they won’t, because for the third year running, I’m back to make sure that every single one is chronicled in this post, so that we can return at the end of the year to marvel at just how wrong we were about almost everything, and continue to baffle the likes of Andy McCullough and Meg Rowley as to why this particular corner of the internet exists at all (please feel free to leave your own speculation in the comments). I’ll be following exactly the same methodology from last season, so if you want further clarification on anything in this post, refer back to the 2016 version . All projection system totals were taken from the relevant sources on the morning of March 29th, all EW predictions were given on the podcast , and all BttP predictions are from our terrific team of preview writers . Level of Optimism One thing I’ve learned from this exercise is that a collection of human predictions is essentially guaranteed to over-predict the possible number of wins. While there will be estimates on an individual team basis that are more pessimistic than the projections, over all 30 teams the total sum of wins will average out to b ...
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