Source: theweek.com --- Thursday, October 20, 2016
Baseball sabermetrician-turned-polling savant Nate Silver was on Wednesday's live post-debate Late Show , and Stephen Colbert asked the question everyone wants to know: Who will win the election, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Clinton headed into the final debate with a 7-point lead, and all the scientific polls — and some of the unscientific ones — say she won the debate, Silver said, "so it's not looking too good for Donald J. Trump." Colbert made Silver admit that the one politician he has been really wrong about is Trump, and Silver said "we evolved" and foolishly didn't believe the polls back in the GOP primary. Trump's "problem is now, he has only about 38 percent of the vote," Silver said. "Clinton has 45 percent of the vote, there are some undecideds left, I don't think he did a good job of persuading them tonight." Who are these undecided people, and how many are there? Colbert asked, "because I think at this point, those people don't need more information, they need more medication." "They are people who don't like either candidate," Silver said. "I mean, there's this guy named Evan McMullin in Utah, who is literally someone no one ever heard of, and he's now leading in some polls of Utah." "Evan McMullin?" Colbert said, writing down his name. "So there's a guy I've never heard of who might win the electoral college vote in Utah?" Colbert brought up Trump's suggestion that he may not accept the result of the election ...
from Baseball http://ift.tt/2ewAwHe
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