Source: http://ift.tt/tj4dWT --- Sunday, October 22, 2017
All the Baseball nuggets you need to start your day. The MLB season lasts half the year, and it can be hard for the average fan to keep up. That’s where we come in. Every day during the 2017 season, Beyond the Box Score will be recapping all the biggest action from the previous day — with a sabermetric slant, of course — and looking ahead to what today will bring. Yesterday’s biggest play Evan Gattis belts a solo shot — +.065 cWPA MLB.com At the time, this almost felt like a blessing for the Yankees . Not because there’s anything good about a solo home run, but because it being nothing more than a solo homer seemed really lucky. CC Sabathia has put in a great set of performances this playoffs, but he looked completely gassed last night. His sinker velocity was down to 90mph, and over his 65 pitches, he garnered just three whiffs from Astros hitters. When Gattis hit this blast and put the Astros on the board, Houston had scattered three hits and two walks across the prior three innings; had the timing of this home run been just a little different, this game could’ve looked like a blowout in the making. But the impact of Gattis’s home run was still unmistakeable. The ‘Stros jumped from a 55 percent chance to win up to a 69 percent chance, and from a more gut-y perspective, gave themselves a clear path to victory. Now the Yankees had to break the status quo in order to win, or even just to not lose; Houston just had to stall. They’ ...
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