Source: www.fangraphs.com --- Tuesday, November 07, 2017
Once upon a time, we basically knew who everybody was prior to the season. Sure, that’s not a foolproof statement. Pitchers are always inconsistent. Some hitters decline due to age or injury. Others rebound due to a dead cat bounce or better health. Rookies are random number generators. But the point stands – players mostly played within the confidence intervals of their projections. We’d talk about finding the Ben Zobrist or the Jose Bautista as your big opportunity on the waiver wire. You basically had a couple chances at rostering a waiver wire savior – plus some of those random rookies. In recent years, supply has increased. The 2017 campaign featured more free studs than I care to list. We had a new toy every week. Dave Cameron basically already wrote this article over on the main blog. If Charlie Morton can transform from mashable sinkerballer to a borderline ace, any journeyman pitcher could suddenly see the light. Then again, it’s not that crazy for a few pitchers to spontaneously improve each season. Morton’s just a little unusual due to his age and long career. Without doing any statistical analysis, this felt like a normal year for pitcher breakouts. The hitter breakouts are where things got a little crazy. Chris Taylor , Yonder Alonso , Logan Morrison , Justin Smoak , Ryan Zimmerman , Marwin Gonzalez , Tommy Pham , Zack Cozart , Avisail Garcia , and Tim Beckham all turned in surprisingly valuable seasons. And that’s ...
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